Company Reports

GS 4Q20: Crushes Consensus, Advancing on Strategics, Shrugs off 1MDB

Goldman Sachs had an explosive 4Q20 as its equities machine pumped out windfall gains in underwriting and trading. Still, it made good progress on its strategic targets. We move to Buy on Stock, maintain Sell on benchmark bonds. Systemic and counterparty risk is Medium. 

Industry Reports

MS 4Q20: Plans for Accelerated Growth with Acquisitions & Market Share Gains

Morgan Stanley enjoyed the 4Q20 windfall in equity underwriting and trading as it further integrates its major acquisitions: E*TRADE (closed) and Eaton Vance (closing in 2Q21). Much more sustainability of earnings given external and internal moves. Buy Stock, Sell on benchmark bonds. Systemic risk Very Low, Counterparty risk Low. 

Topic/Theme Reports

Country Risk Chat: The Certainty of Uncertainty, How to Manage

Dr. Scott & crew discusses the major U.S. trends with new President Biden calling the shots. Touches on Fed and EM investment flows. Deeper dives on Germany and Venezuela.