Company Reports
JPM 4Q17: Trumps Tax, Core Cruising
JPMorgan plowed through the tax blizzard and focused on core growth drivers in loans, deposit margins and capital markets top status. See stock growth in 2018 with select bond buys as spreads have tightened. Systemic risk at all-time lows due to equity market rally. JPM JPM JPM JPM JPM JPM JPM JPM JPM
BMO 4Q17: Canada Stronger Than US, Weak Cap Mkts
BMO enjoyed strength in Canada off back of strong commercial lending and good home mortgage growth. US results more moderate as capital markets and wealth mgt. weaker. Sell Stock, Buy bonds.
TD 4Q17: Specious Strength, US Cards & Autos Weaker
TD looks good on the surface, but are credit concerns mounting in autol loans and cards? As a reference,we review our recent conference comments on rising losses in US auto loans and cards. TD TD TD TD TD TD TD
CIBC 4Q17: Trying to Rebuild Street Cred
CIBC posted a good quarter with loan and AUM fee growth. Still there is the lurking suspicion that mortgages, cards won't hold up with their recent good performance. Remains most systemic Canadian bank. CIBC CIBC CIBC CIBC CIBC CIBC
RY 4Q17: Canada Strong, Capital Markets Dry
RY record annual results shows the strength of the North America strategy and frothy Canadian conditions on the consumer side. Stock Buy, Bonds Sell on tight spreads. RY RY RY RY RY RY RY RBC RBC RBC RBC RBC RBC RBC
BNS 4Q17: Blazing Away in Canada & South of the Border
BNS shows good growth, but we remained concerned about bubbly conditions in housing and rising credit card activity. Latin America acquisitions increase risk exposures south of the border. Sell Stock, Buy Bonds. BNS BNS BNS BNS BNS BNS
HSBC 3Q17: Hulking Euro, With HK Wealth
HSBC continues to mint the money in the China/HK orbit. Allows the repositioning across other regions and retail banking and wealth mgt. Buy Stock, 30Y and AT1s. HSBC HSBC HSBC HSBC HSBC HSBC
SocGen 3Q17: Volatility Visage
SocGen's stock takes it on the chin as the volatility wave receded in traditional and derivatives markets. Retail banking in France going nowhere and consumer finance in E. Europe on hyper-growth. Very High systemic risk. Sell Stock, most of debt stack. socgen socgen socgen socgen socgen socgen
CS 3Q17: C-ontinued S-wells of Uplift, Sustainable?
CS saw another swell of revenues, PTI and asset inflows uptick. It claims step-function rise, we see incrementals that may not be sustainable. Sell Stock, Sell most debt stack. CS CS CS CS CS CS
BNP 3Q17: B-anking on N-ew P-rofitability
BNP is the dominant diversified bank in Europe, but still presents latent credit risk in its European consumer finance/auto leasing business and its mysterious equity derivatives biz. Stock falls post earnings, but still not focused on real issues and #1 rank in European systemic risk. Sell across cap. structure. BNP BNP BNP BNP BNP BNP