Topic/Theme Reports

BAC 4Q20: Awash in Liquidity, Resorting to Buybacks

01/19/2021

BAC has lots of deposit powder to put to work as it waits for higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and economic recovery. Leans on stock buybacks to keep stock going. Buy Stock, Sell on benchmark bonds, Low systemic risk. Counterparty risk Medium. 


WFC 4Q20: Better Pitches, Still Operationally Weighed

01/18/2021

WFC wants to be a normal bank, but still has major restructuring to do to get back into regulators graces. Looks to sell asset management, corporate trust and rail finance to reposition and add capital in our view. Sell on Stock & benchmark Bonds. Systemic & counterparty risk remains High. 


Country Risk Chat: Bye-Bye Crappier 2020! Hello Happier 2021!

12/28/2020

Dr. Scott winds up the year with his global economic outlook for 2021 and impacts to markets. The decline of COVID-19 and the U.S. political transition are front and center for 1H21. Both U.S. and European economies to pick up over course of 2021 making a positive foundation for market performance. 


Country Risk Chat: Holidays Come Early for the Markets

12/01/2020

Dr. Scott gives his global economic outlook for 2021 focusing on the US, Europe and the tensions between Australia and China. Fast and furioius growth in November should trend forward in 2021 as Covid-19 is mitigated by the host of vaccines. 


Country Risk Chat: Election Agita: Biden Won, Trump Furious, Legal Landmines?

11/09/2020

The US Presidential Election is over, but is it? So says Dr. Scott with his early reads on upcoming foreign and economic policy under the President-elect Biden administration. Still, legal challenges can not be ruled out causing market volatility. China still a rising super-power threat with Biden more similar to Trump on how to handle. Europe elated as Biden will give them the bear-hug they desperately needed. 


Country Risk Chat: Biden Victory? Market Volatility!

10/06/2020

Dr. Scott scans the presidential race landscape for signs of economic and markets life post election. With a Biden win, that he leans towards, taxes will rise considerably with volatilie & downward stock markets to follow.  Bond markets will welcome fiscal responsibility, but could get hammered if the economy falters first. 


Country Risk Chat: China & US - Workin’ on Night Moves, Waking Up to Sounds of Thunder

09/16/2020

Dr. Scott continues his Howard Cosell-esqe commentary on the U.S. elections as the relationship between the U.S. and China takes center stage. The two sumo wrestler nations are trying to tip each other over in their quest for global hegemony. China goes on U.S. Treasury diet to upset U.S. physical dominance. 


Country Risk Chat:US Elections, Pls Mr Postman:Deliver the Election, de Sooner de Better!

08/19/2020

Dr. Scott looks at the Biden-Harris ticket and gives it a stamp of approval; with President Trump squashing the Post Office as snail mail goes crustacean subnation. It will be quite a political food-fight as the USA goes from Big Apple brightness to Banana Republic frightness. 


Country Risk Chat: USA’s a Go-Kart Economy: Some Mo-Mo, Will It Fly off Track?

08/11/2020

The US economy is in a dichotomy state between the suffering from truely high unemployment & depressed GDP, and the stock market surge led by the Big Tech stocks. Which way will the US economic go-kart swerves in the end is a centripetal force question to be answered 


Country Risk Chat: Japan Under Pressure; Can’t Eat Sushi!

07/29/2020

Japan stuck in economic funk for the better part of 25 years, now has to contend with the deleterious effects of COVID-19 for compounding its duel burden of poor demographics and high debt loads. 


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