Topic/Theme Reports

Country Risk Chat: France Filleted by Trump-mania

02/13/2017

France filleted by high political drama with Le Pen and the field jockying for position. High debt, terrorist acts, nationalist awakenings, oiled up by the Trumpster, are frying up bond and ratings pressures.


ConfCall Script Part 1: Trump Dismantling Dodd-Frank, Enhancing Market Trading Liquidity

02/07/2017

President Trump's Executive Order on Financial Markets regulation could unleash the wild-west conditions of the mid-2000s. Or improve market trading liquidity and restore normalcy to the US resi- mortgage markets. We explore the impacts.


Country Risk Chat: Another Brick in the Wall for Mexico?

01/31/2017

President Trump's twitter tirades are adding another brick of ratings risk to a possible "walled-in" Mexcio. Weakness across Caribbean nations including Barbados and Belize adds to bondholder woes in EM.


Country Risk Chat: EM Issuance: Gulf States, Africa, China & Mexico

01/23/2017

A new wave of EM sovereign & corporate bonds flowing to meet the demand of yield starved fixed income investors. We review issuance for the Gulf States, Africa, China & Mexico. Pres. Trump throws a curve ball into trade equations.


Country Risk Chat: Emerging Countries to Watch in 2017

01/09/2017

Greater political risk could trump stronger economic expansion for many EM countries. Brazil & Russia could improve, while China and smaller EMs could deteriorate. 


Risk Mgt Chat: Derivatives Confusion for IM/VM: Deutsche Bank Bewilderment

01/03/2017

Markets players behind schedule prepping for new Intitial/Variation Margin rules for non-centrally cleared derivatives. "Last moment" actions pose risks to smoothly functioning markets. And what to do with Deutsche Bank counterparty risks where market players are slowly backing away, but could take more "last moment "actions leading to systemic risk amplification.


Fed Makes Tortoise Move: Do They Matter Anymore?

12/14/2016

The US Federal Reserve acted in the most obvious way with a tiny 25 bps increase in the Fed Funds rate. Viola Risk Advisors agrees with New Constructs views that the Feds rates impact much less and lags the bond markets. Mortgages will be key to the magnitude in rate rises to come in 2017. 


Country Risk Commentary: Mama Mia, Renzi Arrivederci!

12/06/2016

Italy's "NO" Referendum reverberates through the EU as disastrous Italian banks quake and the euro's future in further jeopardy. 


Country Risk Commentary: "Italy: No Grazie Referendum, Mangia Debito"

11/21/2016

As the Trump Administration takes shape and form, the Italian's soon vote on their referendum which could then sway the global markets. And then the China property & credit bubble continues to expand. 


Post-Election Pulse: President-elect Trumpís Impact to Global Systemic Banks

11/14/2016

This conference call transcript reviews our views on the new President-elect Trump's impacts to Global Banks. Still hate the Eurobank sector, but some buying in Spanish banks, Barclays, UBS. 


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