In our efforts to reach the fixed income investor base, Viola Risk Advisors participated in FIASI's Fall 2016 kick-off panel event celebrating the Society's 40th Anniversay. The topic was the rise of the Indie research providers as the traditional sell-side retreats.
Markets in September should be more volatile and the kick-off should be by Fed Chair Yellen & teams rates pronouncement this PM. We survey various pundits on the economic landscape & offer our own view.
Country risk still rocked on even though the stock market took a snooze rollicking in the summer hideaways. Still, volatility should rear its ugly head as we head into the Fall 2016 with US presidential elections and Fed policy about to inflect.
As the #1 female pop star of all-time, Madonna sang in the '80s, "we are living in a material world!!"! Yet it is hard to get the world's material desires fulfilled in a negative interest rate world! Madonna's sage reply to that was, "If they don't give me proper credit, I just walk away!" And the question remains to investors is whether they will run away from the stock & bond market bubbles driven by negative yields & whether it all ends spectacularly painful, yet again, yet again.
Russia amps up the geopolitical technos with House DJ Putin dialing up the BPMs in the European EDM dynamics on the Black Sea. But really, the Russia/Ukraine gyrations should impact geopolitical fears going into the Fall seaon. Another "Debbie Downer" for debt/equity markets.
Our Viola Risk Roundup looks at the geopolitical & country risk factors that will impact the macro environment and markets over the next 6 months. First, is a deep dive on the European & EU conundrum with negative rates failing to reboot regional economic growth. Combinations of bad banking, poor fertility rates and gigantic debt loads are drowning the great region into a more severe economic quagmire.
Turkey will continue to headline with political drama & questions over the geopolitical situation on Europe’s southern flank. Turkey's emerging new order has major challenges ahead which will pressure cooker its sovereign ratings & currency.
Dr. MacDonald travels the globe reviewing the key country risk drivers of economic and investor/risk manager performance. Brexit, US Fed, BOJ, Euro banks, China, Turkey, Brazil.
Bloomberg's Podcast team interviewed, David Hendler, the Head of Viola Risk Advisors, regarding the future of U.S. banking and a historical review of his reasearch insights.
“We see a need in the market to go back to basics — do your credit homework, and do it right,” Viola Risk Advisors David Hendler told Markets Media.