Topic/Theme Reports

Country Risk Chat: Brexit Prune Juice, Irish Borders & Turkish Elections


High country debt loads, rising rates & political risk offers a challenging environment to many an EM exposure. Turkey stands out. Review Brexit ramifications to N. Ireland/Ireland and other messy factors.

Country Risk Chat: Four’easter Fright Fest: Oncoming Traffic, Brakes Don’t Work


Rising rates, global trade war rhetoric, uncertain electoral politics and other geopolitical risks increasing country risk volatility climate. Stormy conditions a threat in Italy, Japan, Russia, Turkey, China and EM zone. 

Country Risk Quick-Take: Italy Post-Election Thoughts from the Nor’easter Blackouts Zone


Italy becomes a euro hot spot again as the eurosceptic parties gained a majority of the votes. Though hampered by power outages in Westchester County, Dr. Scott forges ahead with his quick takes on possible government scenarios for Italy. 

Country Risk Chat: Bears In the Woods - EM, Europe, Italy, Germany, Brazil


Can Europe unhinge as ECB backs away from its decade old uber-money flex stance. Italian election & German coalition forming continues to rattle the geopoliticals. Brazil in flux with pensions unsolved and its upcoming elections.

Country Risk Chat: HY Sovereign Roulette


The world is awash in liquidity from central banks and now upcoming higher yielding maturities looking for a yieldy home. Step right up to Brazil, Venezuela and China for roulette placers.

Country Risk Chat 2018 Outlook


VRA's country strategist, Dr. Scott MacDonald, gives his outlook for country risk across the globe. Likes Brazil and KSA  bonds, down on China, Italy, Spain & UK. Safe harbors with US/Scandinavian banks. 

Country Risk Chat: 2018 Outlook: Politics & Poker, Will It Trump Economics?


Country Risk in 2018 will be dominated by the reversal of the Europe bull trade on political volatility, China eco-vol, and EM looking more attractive with global economic growth. Preview of 2018 Viola Risk Conference views set for Thursday, November 16 in NYC. 

Country Risk Chat: Natural Disasters & Geopolitical Global Warming


Hot winds & storms swirled into the northwestern hemisphere bringing catastrophic damage to Houstion, parts of Florida and much of the Caribbean. Europe has its own political whirlwinds with Brexit and German elections bringing agency downgrades and far-right politics to the forefront. Kuridstan becomes a factor in Middle East dessert diplomacy. 

Morning with Viola Risk Advisors on November 16 in NYC


Viola Risk Advisors hosts its first live presentation reviewing its "2018 Capital Structure & Risk Mgt. Outlook" for Global Banks, Sovereigns & EM countries.  Special guest speaker on equity valuation tools for enhanced fixed income & risk mgt. performance. 

Country Risk Chat: Caribbean Tourism Tested by Irma, Germany & China Leadership Contests


The stormy hurricane season in the Gulf/Caribbean region tests the tourism trade-winds that are essential to the islands economic health. Germany & China consider leadership decisions, but incumbents seem to be shoe-ins. 

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