Topic/Theme Reports

The Six Million Dollar Securities Analyst: Topping The Scales as Part Human, Part Robo-Analyst

03/18/2019

Viola Risk Advisors recently presented to the Surrey Business School, part of the University of Surrey in Guildford, UK. We explored how incorporating Robo-Analyst tools can enhance the human analyst’s capabilities and lead to better analysis and a more productive career. 


Country Risk Chat: Europe, The Old Man of the World

03/08/2019

Europe is limping along and would someone please put it out of its misery? It's mean, cruel and heartless to continue the ECB's flawed over-easing monetary policy. Just killing the banking system & forcing it to do speculative and unsavory activities. AML & KYC are foreign phrases in the Eurozone. Need to get compliance-real or else no one will deal. 


Country Risk Chat: More Storms Ahead: Trump-Congress Spats, Cash Heads to Sidelines

02/11/2019

February will out-storm January as geopolitical nor'easters hit. Trump/Congress friction heats up the globe. While ex-US economic slowdowns make GDP conditions frigid. 


Country Risk Chat: European Outlook: Goulash, Galoshes, Ghoulish

01/28/2019

We put on our galoshes to face the European election & political storms. With a hearty debt goulash to digest across the issuance calendars, it may make for a ghoulish year for investors & risk managers alike. 


Country Risk Chat: Trump/Powell Sumo Wrestling Clench, Brexit/Italy Stench, Macron Monkey-Wrench

12/17/2018

2019 has the stench of more credit volatility from the macro big picture down to the industry/company levels. Dr. Scott reflects on the forward look for the Fed/Trump rates debate, the ongoing Brexit pileup, and "Paris is burning" as nationalism takes hold across Europe. And the China/US tariff trade wars. Bonne Chance mes amis!


Country Risk Chat: G20 Summit, French Friction, Russia/Ukraine Conflict?

11/26/2018

Big week for sovereign chatter as the G20 Summit gets rockin on the 30th. Sino, Saudi issues top of mind on trade, oil, and assassinations. Macron's anti-nationalism challenged by  rambunctious Yellow Vests. Russia amps up its naval intimidation of Ukraine interests.


Country Risk Chat: US/China Trade Scrums, UK Brexit Blues, Italian Debt Worries

11/19/2018

Investors want certainty, but the global dynamics deny this! With the US/China trade tussle becoming a  more vicious scrum. And the UK and Italy gyrating the Euro regions economics with Brexit and spending/debt strategies, the landscape for 2019 seems shaky at best. Scott gives his seasoned eyes views on how to navigate the upcoming volatility for bond investing. 


Country Risk Chat: Brexit, USMCA, Asia/Middle East EM

10/08/2018

We go around the horn of Brexit, USMCA and Asia/Middle East sovereign issues. The Brexit show continues, USMCA makes Canada/Mexico better buys. India should hold ratings. 


Country Risk Chat: Brazil Elections, Another Populist Showdown

10/07/2018

Brazil's presidential elections will usher in populist choices that will have to deal with difficult economic conditions. We review the terrain. 


Country Risk Chat: US Growth, LatAm Outlook & Zimbabwe on the Caribbean

07/31/2018

US economic growth and tariff policies setting the tone for global economic growth. We review the US situation and spillovers. Then look at Latin American & Caribbean growth. And end on the Venezuela inflation catastrophe with comparisons to Weimer Germany & Zimbabwe.


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