Flare points continue to abound in Venezuela & along the China-India border. The Game of Thrones Season 7 is over, but not so for political brinkmanship in Europe & the US.
While August is traditionally a get-away month for the risk mgt. set, the risk still wants to play and needs to be attended to. We review the hot spots including NoKo, Venezuela & Russia war games. Still have Euro trade on, as DC tweets away the summer.
Dr. Scott reviews the European region's upcoming election & economic landscape. German & Italian elections and France's new government and economic prospects. Constructive on the European CDS trade.
Viola Risk will be hosting a Country Risk Conference Call on Wednesday, August 2 @ 11AM NYC time. Dr. Scott MacDonald will review the Euro Dynamics for the Fall Season including: German & Italian elections, France with Macron and UK Brexit outlooks. A sprinkling of China, Japan, Korea & Venezuela for good measure. Contact firstname.lastname@example.org for call-in details.
Italy ingested in-depth as its political landscape is as firm as a bowl of spaghetti. Greece rebound & Brexit outbound in spot-light. Stay tuned for Country Risk ConfCall dial-in details for August 2 @ 11am NYC time.
Bromance heats up between the leader of the free world and the leader of the French people. Macron & Trump, the unlikeliest of couples, strut their stuff down Avenue des Champs-Elysees. Hold Aug. 2 @ 11am for Country Risk Chat conference call on "Europe: Love/Laughter/Disaster?"
G-20 summit did not make much forward progress, but heads of state seemingly got along. More volatility elsewhere as Mexico, Venezeula, and Qatar wag the sovereign landscape. More downgrades?
Australia's economy now pestered by housing bubble after years of commodities based charged growth. Combined with a high consumer debt load high, presenting some risk to GDP. But still manageable as other business sectors expand.
Dr. Scott will get you high on Germany/France, bad on UK and "Kinda Likes" Spain while Japan is meh! Take a top charts tour of his top country hits and flops of 2H2017.
UK agita strikes again on annual basis as May government set to fall, or be mortally diabled towards ineffectiveness. Next steps still blurry, we provide first takes.