Topic/Theme Reports

Country Risk Chat: US Growth, LatAm Outlook & Zimbabwe on the Caribbean


US economic growth and tariff policies setting the tone for global economic growth. We review the US situation and spillovers. Then look at Latin American & Caribbean growth. And end on the Venezuela inflation catastrophe with comparisons to Weimer Germany & Zimbabwe.

Country Risk Chat: Of Black Cats & Chickens - Italy, Turkey, Trade Wars & US Growth


Better US GDP growth endangered by trade war reality and rhetoric. Italy politics continue to be choppy and Turkey emerges as top EM risk. 

Country Risk Chat: Italy Erupts, EU Tsunami Warning?


Italy risk erupts as politicals incite the financial markets. Still, tough decisions on both will continue to make waves in the markets. 

Country Risk Chat: EM Risk Ratchets Up in LatAm & Italy


EM risk fires up with Venezuela's  re-election of President Maduro. Argentina looking for debt line to service heavy debt load. Brazil holding in. And Italy going populist. Egypt gets by with a little help from Gulf friends. 

Country Risk Chat: Ballots & Debt, Part 2: Election Triggers in Malaysia & Colombia


Part 2 of  Ballots & Debt explores the political part of  the EM risk cycle as Malaysia & Colombia wrestle with their recent and upcoming decisions. 

Country Risk Chat: Ballots & Debt – Argentina EM Contagion Trigger?


EM debt concerns heating up as higher US rates wreak havoc on high debt loads & political election reactions. Part 1 of this series explores the Argentina debt dilemma that can set off EM contagion. 

Country Risk Chat: Brexit Prune Juice, Irish Borders & Turkish Elections


High country debt loads, rising rates & political risk offers a challenging environment to many an EM exposure. Turkey stands out. Review Brexit ramifications to N. Ireland/Ireland and other messy factors.

Country Risk Chat: Four’easter Fright Fest: Oncoming Traffic, Brakes Don’t Work


Rising rates, global trade war rhetoric, uncertain electoral politics and other geopolitical risks increasing country risk volatility climate. Stormy conditions a threat in Italy, Japan, Russia, Turkey, China and EM zone. 

Country Risk Quick-Take: Italy Post-Election Thoughts from the Nor’easter Blackouts Zone


Italy becomes a euro hot spot again as the eurosceptic parties gained a majority of the votes. Though hampered by power outages in Westchester County, Dr. Scott forges ahead with his quick takes on possible government scenarios for Italy. 

Country Risk Chat: Bears In the Woods - EM, Europe, Italy, Germany, Brazil


Can Europe unhinge as ECB backs away from its decade old uber-money flex stance. Italian election & German coalition forming continues to rattle the geopoliticals. Brazil in flux with pensions unsolved and its upcoming elections.

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