Topic/Theme Reports

Part 2 of  Ballots & Debt explores the political part of  the EM risk cycle as Malaysia & Colombia wrestle with their recent and upcoming decisions. 

EM debt concerns heating up as higher US rates wreak havoc on high debt loads & political election reactions. Part 1 of this series explores the Argentina debt dilemma that can set off EM contagion. 

Viola Risk collaborates with thought leaders in our research and speaker series. On Thursday, June 7 @ 11AM NYC time, Jack Foster, former senior credit executive at JP Morgan will give his well-respected views on holistic credit risk evaluation. Contact your Viola Risk contact for access information.

High country debt loads, rising rates & political risk offers a challenging environment to many an EM exposure. Turkey stands out. Review Brexit ramifications to N. Ireland/Ireland and other messy factors.

Harvard Business School's new case study showcases New Constructs as a best-in-class provider of economic earnings data & analysis. Viola Risk integrates NC's data to augment its stakeholder stack analysis for debt/equity investors and counterparty risk/regulatory exposure managers. 

Rising rates, global trade war rhetoric, uncertain electoral politics and other geopolitical risks increasing country risk volatility climate. Stormy conditions a threat in Italy, Japan, Russia, Turkey, China and EM zone. 

Italy becomes a euro hot spot again as the eurosceptic parties gained a majority of the votes. Though hampered by power outages in Westchester County, Dr. Scott forges ahead with his quick takes on possible government scenarios for Italy. 

Can Europe unhinge as ECB backs away from its decade old uber-money flex stance. Italian election & German coalition forming continues to rattle the geopoliticals. Brazil in flux with pensions unsolved and its upcoming elections.

The world is awash in liquidity from central banks and now upcoming higher yielding maturities looking for a yieldy home. Step right up to Brazil, Venezuela and China for roulette placers.

VRA's country strategist, Dr. Scott MacDonald, gives his outlook for country risk across the globe. Likes Brazil and KSA  bonds, down on China, Italy, Spain & UK. Safe harbors with US/Scandinavian banks.